воскресенье, 4 марта 2012 г.

PROBCAST: A Web-Based Portal to Mesoscale Probabilistic Forecasts

An experimental Web site tests innovative approaches for displaying probabilistic weather predictions based on postprocessed high-resolution ensemble forecasts.

The transition from deterministic weather predict ion to an environment in which probabilistic forecasts are generated, communicated, and applied is one of the great challenges before the me- teorological community. Recently, both an official statement of the American Meteorological Society (AMS 2008) and the "Completing the Forecast" report of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS; National Research Council 2006) noted that widespread dis- semination of probabilistic weather predictions would yield substantial economic and …

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